November 18, 2010
IN THE ROTATION:
R/L Free Agent
THE ROTATION ON OPENING DAY:
NOTE: Will be decent all year with double aces in Verlander and Scherzer
W-L SO ERA
Verlander 19-6 239 2.77
Scherzer 17-9 196 3.26
Porcello 15-10 157 3.78
Coke 10-9 131 4.39
Galarraga 3-5 47 4.88
Oliver 1-3 27 5.39
THOUGHT: Coke in the rotation should work out fine.
PROSPECT(S) TO WATCH: Oliver will have flashes of good stuff and watch Jacob Turner too.
FREE AGENTS: Jorge De La Rosa would work about best but if not Pavano is a very good option too
Verlander: Will get better again. With everything he has he will have a good season.
Scherzer: He will be just amazing. WIll have big hot streaks again too.
Porcello: Will still have growing pains but is every bit as good.
Coke: Will make good transaction. Won’t always be smooth though.
Galarraga: Will have a good game once in a while but that’s about it.
Oliver: Is good but needs more of a feel.
AL CENTRAL POWER RANKING
- White Sox
Beat NYY more than three times: Yes
Beat TEX more than three times: Yes
Chance of under 4.00 Team ERA: 20%
Chance of over 7 complete games as team: 55%
ERA in division: 3.71
Guys with over 200 IP(projected): 2
Guys with over 65 BB(Projected): 2
Guys with over 15 homers given up(Projected): 3
Chance 4 guys on the team get 10 wins: 50%
Chance of a pitcher with 200 IP: 90%
LAST WORD: Will have more good times than bad and 1-2-3 is possibly the best in the MLB.
October 18, 2010
Here is the beginning of my new series looking at each teams starting pitching for next year.
IN THE ROTATION IN 2011:
THE ROTATION ON OPENING DAY:
Shaun Marcum- R
Ricky Romero- L
Brandon Morrow- R
Brett Cecil- L
W-L ERA SO
Marcum 15-10 3.51 177
Romero 15-8 3.39 182
Morrow 13-9 4.12 189
Rzepcynski 9-11 4.37 120
Cecil 8-11 4.51 102
Drabek 6-3 4.39 65
Stewart 2-0 3.31 36
PROSPECT(S) TO WATCH: Drabek and Stewart could be big at the end of the year.
FA NEED?: No need but if they do want one a pitcher it should be lower tier like Westbrook, Penny, Garcia, or Chirs Young
Marcum- Is going to be a bit better and will be an ace for the Jays.
Romero- Will slowly get better and will have many good stats soon.
Morrow- He may breakout big next year but with his good stuff he will have a good year.
Drabek- Will have struggles but will have good times from the beginning.
Stewart- Will start great and be good short-term next year.
Rzepcynski- Won’t be his year but getting better
Cecil- Will take a bit of a fall but no worries he’s still good and will have his moments
Litsch- Will be bad, won’t have many bright spots.
RATING(OF 10.0): 7.2
AL EAST 2011 EARLY POWER RANK
- Blue Jays
- Red Sox
Beat NYY more than three times?: Yes
Beat TEX more than three times?: Yes
Under 4.00 ERA: 40% chance
^7 Complete Games: 30%
Predicted ERA in Division: 3.99
Can they average under 4 runs?: 30%
Guys with ^200 IP: 2 (Prediction)
Guys with ^65 BB?: 3 (Prediction)
Guys with over 15 homers gave up?: 1 (Prediction)
Chance 4 guys get over 10 wins: 49%
Chance a guy gets 200 K: 75%