2011 Rotations: Detroit Tigers

November 18, 2010

IN THE ROTATION:
R Verlander
R Scherzer
R Porcello
L Coke
BATTLING:
R Galarraga
L Oliver
R/L Free Agent
THE ROTATION ON OPENING DAY:
R Verlander
R Scherzer
R Porcello
R/L FA
L Coke
NOTE: Will be decent all year with double aces in Verlander and Scherzer
PROJECTIONS
                                 W-L      SO      ERA
Verlander            19-6     239   2.77
Scherzer               17-9    196     3.26
Porcello                15-10   157   3.78
Coke                       10-9     131    4.39
Galarraga             3-5       47      4.88
Oliver                    1-3        27      5.39
THOUGHT: Coke in the rotation should work out fine.
PROSPECT(S) TO WATCH: Oliver will have flashes of good stuff and watch Jacob Turner too.
FREE AGENTS: Jorge De La Rosa would work about best but if not Pavano is a very good option too
QUICK ANALYSIS:
Verlander: Will get better again.  With everything he has he will have a good season.
Scherzer: He will be just amazing.  WIll have big hot streaks again too.
Porcello: Will still have growing pains but is every bit as good.
Coke: Will make good transaction.  Won’t always be smooth though.
Galarraga: Will have a good game once in a while but that’s about it.
Oliver: Is good but needs more of a feel.
STANDARDS
RATING: 6.9
AL CENTRAL POWER RANKING

  1. White Sox
  2. Tigers
  3. Twins
  4. Royals
  5. Indians

Beat NYY more than three times: Yes
Beat TEX more than three times: Yes
Chance of under 4.00 Team ERA: 20%
Chance of over 7 complete games as team: 55%
ERA in division: 3.71
Guys with over 200 IP(projected): 2
Guys with over 65 BB(Projected): 2
Guys with over 15 homers given up(Projected): 3
Chance 4 guys on the team get 10 wins: 50%
Chance of a pitcher with 200 IP: 90%
LAST WORD: Will have more good times than bad and 1-2-3 is possibly the best in the MLB.

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2011 Rotations: Toronto Blue Jays

October 18, 2010

Here is the beginning of my new series looking at each teams starting pitching for next year.

IN THE ROTATION IN 2011:
Ricky Romero
Brandon Morrow
Shaun Marcum
BATTLING:
Marc Rzepcynski
Brett Cecil
Jesse Litsch
Zach Stewart
Kyle Drabek
THE ROTATION ON OPENING DAY:
Shaun Marcum- R
Ricky Romero- L
Brandon Morrow- R
Marc Rzepcynski-L
Brett Cecil- L
PROJECTIONS
                               W-L       ERA     SO
Marcum              15-10  3.51      177
Romero               15-8    3.39      182
Morrow               13-9    4.12      189
Rzepcynski         9-11    4.37     120
Cecil                      8-11    4.51      102
Drabek                  6-3     4.39      65
Stewart                2-0      3.31      36
PROSPECT(S) TO WATCH: Drabek and Stewart could be big at the end of the year.
FA NEED?: No need but if they do want one a pitcher it should be lower tier like Westbrook, Penny, Garcia, or Chirs Young
QUICK ANALYSIS:
Marcum- Is going to be a bit better and will be an ace for the Jays.
Romero- Will slowly get better and will have many good stats soon.
Morrow- He may breakout big next year but with his good stuff  he will have a good year.
Drabek- Will have struggles but will have good times from the beginning.
Stewart- Will start great and be good short-term next year.
Rzepcynski- Won’t be his year but getting better
Cecil- Will take a bit of a fall but no worries he’s still good and will have his moments
Litsch- Will be bad, won’t have many bright spots.
RATING(OF 10.0): 7.2
AL EAST 2011 EARLY POWER RANK

  1. Rays
  2. Blue Jays
  3. Red Sox
  4. Yankees
  5. Orioles

PITCHING STANDARDS:
Beat NYY more than three times?: Yes
Beat TEX more than three times?: Yes
Under 4.00 ERA: 40% chance
^7 Complete Games: 30%
Predicted ERA in Division: 3.99
Can they average under 4 runs?: 30%
Guys with ^200 IP: 2 (Prediction)
Guys with ^65 BB?: 3 (Prediction)
Guys with over 15 homers gave up?: 1 (Prediction)
Chance 4 guys get over 10 wins: 49%
Chance a guy gets 200 K: 75%